Revolutionizing Sustainable Packaging Renewable Gable-Top Cartons Set to Reach USD 9.77 Billion by 2035

According to Towards Packaging consultants, the global renewable gable-top cartons market is projected to reach approximately USD 9.77 billion by 2035, increasing from USD 6 billion in 2025, at a CAGR of 5% during the forecast period 2026 to 2035.

Ottawa, Feb. 25, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The global renewable gable-top cartons market stood at USD 6 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 9.77 billion by 2035, according to a study published by Towards Packaging, a sister firm of Precedence Research.

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What is meant by Renewable Gable-Top Cartons?

Renewable gable-top cartons are paperboard-based liquid packaging formats made primarily from responsibly sourced, renewable fiber, often combined with bio-based or recyclable barrier layers. They are gaining strategic importance as brands shift away from fossil-based rigid plastics toward lower-carbon, circular packaging solutions. Their lightweight structure, strong shelf presence, compatibility with cold chains, and suitability for dairy, plant-based beverages, and juices make them increasingly preferred in sustainability-focused packaging strategies worldwide.

Private Industry Investments for Renewable Gable-Top Cartons:

Tetra Pak Paper-Based Barrier Pilot: Tetra Pak is investing €60 million in a Swedish pilot plant to develop aseptic cartons that replace aluminum foil layers with a renewable, paper-based barrier.
Elopak U.S. Production Expansion: Elopak has committed over $125 million to its first U.S. manufacturing facility to scale production of its sustainable Pure-Pak cartons for the North American market.
SIG Terra Alu-Free Launch: SIG Combibloc has invested in a "plug-and-play" alu-layer-free solution that allows manufacturers to produce multi-serve aseptic cartons with a 61% lower carbon footprint.
Pactiv Evergreen SmartPour Innovation: Pactiv Evergreen recently launched its patented SmartPour package, a renewable gable-top solution designed to replace rigid plastic containers in the home care and food sectors.
Parksons Packaging Strategic Partnership: Parksons Packaging has invested in a partnership with NiMCO to provide the first integrated gable-top filling and packaging systems in India to reduce single-use dairy plastics.

What Are the Latest Key Trends in the Renewable Gable-Top Cartons Market?

1. Bio-Based and Compostable Coatings

Manufacturers are replacing traditional plastic layers with bio-based and compostable coatings derived from plant sources. These barriers maintain liquid resistance while boosting recyclability and reducing reliance on fossil materials, helping brands achieve sustainability commitments and meet stricter environmental regulations.

2. Lightweighting and Material Optimization

Producers are redesigning carton structures to use less fiber without compromising strength, reducing material input and transportation emissions. Optimized carton designs also improve filling efficiency and cost competitiveness, appealing to both manufacturers and eco-conscious consumers.

3. Consumer-Driven Eco Labeling

Renewable gable-top cartons increasingly feature transparent sustainability labels, certifications, and QR traceability codes. These help educate consumers on recyclability, responsible sourcing, and carbon footprint, influencing purchase decisions and reinforcing brand trust.

4. Expansion into Non-Dairy and Beverage Segments

Beyond traditional milk packaging, renewable gable-top cartons are gaining traction in plant-based beverages, juices, and functional drinks. Their aseptic compatibility and shelf stability make them attractive to emerging beverage categories seeking eco-friendly packaging.

5. Recycling Infrastructure Enhancements

Investment in improved paper recycling streams and de-inking technologies is enabling higher throughput of gable-top cartons in recycling facilities. These advancements support closed-loop systems and reduce contamination concerns, encouraging wider adoption by brand owners and converters.

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What is the Potential Growth Rate of the Renewable Gable-Top Cartons Industry?

The renewable gable-top cartons industry is experiencing consistent momentum as packaging manufacturers and beverage brands prioritize low-carbon, fiber-based alternatives to rigid plastics. Wider use of responsibly sourced paperboard, plant-derived barrier layers, and improved recyclability is strengthening adoption across dairy and non-dairy segments.

Regulatory pressure to reduce plastic waste, combined with retailer sustainability targets and evolving consumer preferences, is creating favourable long-term growth prospects globally.

Regional Analysis:

Who is the leader in the Renewable Gable-Top Cartons Market?

Europe is the dominant region in the market because of strong environmental regulations that limit single-use plastics and encourage recyclable packaging adoption. Established recycling infrastructure and widespread consumer awareness of sustainability drive preference for renewable fiber packaging. Additionally, major dairy and plant-based beverage producers in the region are actively transitioning to eco-friendly carton formats, reinforcing Europe’s leadership in renewable gable-top carton deployment worldwide.

UK Renewable Gable-Top Cartons Market Trends

In the UK, renewable gable-top cartons are gaining traction as dairy and plant-based beverage brands shift away from plastic bottles to meet retailer sustainability targets and Extended Producer Responsibility requirements. Businesses are investing in bio-based barrier layers and fully recyclable carton structures to align with the UK Plastic Packaging Tax framework.

How is the Opportunistic is the Rise of the Asia Pacific in the Renewable Gable-Top Cartons Industry?

The Asia Pacific region is expected to grow at the fastest rate in the market, driven by rising demand for sustainable beverage packaging across dairy, plant-based drinks, and functional beverages. Rapid urbanization, expanding retail networks, and increasing environmental regulations limiting plastic usage are accelerating adoption. Growing investments in local carton manufacturing capacity and improvements in paper recycling infrastructure further strengthen the region’s long-term growth potential.

China Renewable Gable-Top Cartons Market Trends

In China, business trends in the market are shaped by sustainability mandates and rapid beverage sector growth. Domestic manufacturers are investing in bio-based barrier technologies and lightweight carton designs to enhance recyclability and reduce carbon footprint. Major dairy and plant-based drink brands are switching from plastic bottles to gable-top cartons to meet regulatory pressure and consumer demand for eco-friendly packaging.

More Insights of Towards Packaging:

Segment Outlook

Material Type Insights

The renewable paperboard segment is dominant in the renewable gable-top cartons market because it forms the structural backbone of the package and delivers strength, printability, and shelf stability while remaining fiber-based and recyclable. Sourced from certified forests, it aligns with sustainability goals and plastic reduction targets. Its compatibility with food-safe barrier coatings and existing paper recycling systems further reinforces widespread adoption across dairy and beverage applications.

The mono-material renewable laminate segment is expected to grow at the fastest rate in the market due to its superior recyclability and simplified material composition. By eliminating complex multi-polymer layers, it improves compatibility with existing paper recovery systems and supports circular economy targets. Increasing regulatory pressure to reduce non-recyclable packaging and brand commitments toward low-carbon, fiber-based solutions are further accelerating its adoption globally.

Carton-Type Insights

The aseptic gable-top cartons segment is dominant in the renewable gable-top cartons market because it enables long shelf life without refrigeration while maintaining product safety and quality. Its versatility for dairy, plant-based beverages, and juices, combined with efficient distribution, reduced food waste, and compatibility with recyclable paperboard materials, drives widespread adoption and reinforces its leading position across global markets.

The custom printed carton segment is expected to grow at the fastest rate in the market due to increasing brand focus on shelf differentiation and sustainable storytelling. Advanced digital and water-based printing technologies enable high-quality graphics on fiber-based surfaces without compromising recyclability.

Beverage and dairy brands are leveraging customized designs, limited editions, and QR-enabled packaging to enhance consumer engagement, improve traceability, and strengthen eco-friendly brand positioning in competitive retail environments.

Capacity Insights

The medium 250 to 1000 ml capacity segment is dominant in the renewable gable-top cartons market because it aligns with everyday consumption patterns for milk, juices, and plant-based beverages. This size range balances portability and household usability, making it suitable for both individual servings and small families. It also optimizes shelf space, reduces product wastage, and supports efficient transportation and retail display formats across supermarkets and convenience stores.

The small (≤250 ml) segment is expected to be the fastest growing in the market due to rising demand for single-serve and on-the-go beverage formats. Increasing consumption of flavoured milk, functional drinks, and kids’ nutrition products supports this trend. These compact packs enhance portion control, reduce product waste, and suit school, travel, and convenience retail channels, making them highly attractive for modern, fast-paced lifestyles.

Product Application Insights

The dairy product segment is dominant in the renewable gable-top cartons market because milk, yogurt drinks, and cream-based beverages require safe, hygienic, and shelf-stable packaging. Gable-top cartons provide excellent protection, extended freshness without preservatives, and compatibility with cold chain distribution. Widespread consumer demand for dairy products, combined with environmental and recyclability considerations, reinforces this segment’s leading position globally.

The plant-based beverages segment is expected to be the fastest-growing segment in the market due to increasing consumer preference for vegan, lactose-free, and protein-enriched alternatives. Rising awareness of environmental sustainability and health benefits drives the adoption of almond, oat, soy, and rice drinks. Renewable gable-top cartons offer safe, shelf-stable packaging that preserves quality, supports recyclability, and aligns with eco-conscious brand positioning in the rapidly expanding plant-based beverage sector.

Recent Breakthroughs in the Renewable Gable-Top Cartons Industry

In December 2025, Tetra Pak, a packaging company, introduced the Tetra Brik Aseptic 200 ml Slim Leaf carton featuring an innovative paper-based barrier technology with up to 80 % paper content, eliminating traditional aluminum foil layers. This world's-first aseptic carton for juice packaging maintains oxygen, light, moisture, and bacterial protection while enhancing recyclability and paper recovery efficiency in recycling streams.
In October 2025, SIG, a packaging company, and SDC, the Swiss Agency for Development and cooperation launched a primary aluminum-free full-barrier aseptic carton in South Korea, fully compliant with national recycling regulations. The carton uses renewable paper-dominated materials, improving recyclability and reducing dependency on fossil-based aluminum layers.

Top Companies in the Global Renewable Gable-Top Cartons Market & Their Offerings:

Tetra Pak: The Tetra Rex® Plant-based is the industry's first carton made entirely from FSC-certified paperboard and sugarcane-derived plastics.
Elopak: The Pure-Pak® Imagine is a 100% forest-based, carbon-neutral carton that eliminates the plastic screw cap to further reduce environmental impact.
SIG Combibloc: Their SIG Terra solutions offer gable-top-style functionality using high-renewable fiber content and innovative aluminum-free barrier layers.
Graphic Packaging International: They produce renewable liquid packaging board designed specifically for chilled gable-top applications to replace plastic-heavy alternatives.
Klöckner Pentaplast (kp): They provide sustainable barrier films and coatings that enable fiber-based cartons to maintain liquid integrity while remaining recyclable.
Berry Global Inc.: They manufacture bio-resin closures and caps for gable-top cartons, ensuring the entire assembly meets renewable material standards.
Mondi plc: They supply renewable kraft paper and specialized functional barriers that serve as the structural, liquid-proof base for sustainable cartons.
Amcor plc: They offer fiber-based liquid packaging and low-carbon sealant technologies to enhance the sustainability profile of traditional gable-top designs.

Segment Covered in the Report

By Material Type

Renewable Paperboard / Paper-Based Cartons
Bio-based Polymer Coatings / Films (plant-based PE, PLA, etc.)
Mono-material Renewable Laminates
Barrier Coatings (renewable wax/cellulose, non-aluminum)

By Carton Type / Format

Standard Gable-Top Cartons
Aseptic Gable-Top Cartons
Shelf-Stable Gable-Top Cartons
Extended Shelf-Life Functional Cartons
Custom & Printed Renewable Gable-Top Formats

By Capacity / Volume

Small (≤250 ml)
Medium (250–1000 ml)
Large (>1000 ml)

By Product Application

Dairy Products
- Milk
- Yogurt Drinks
- Buttermilk
Juices & Non-Carbonated Beverages
Plant-Based Beverages (almond, oat, soy, etc.)
Liquid Foods (soups, sauces)
Other Beverages (nutritional drinks)

By Region

North America:

U.S.
Canada
Mexico
Rest of North America

South America:

Brazil
Argentina
Rest of South America

Europe:

Western Europe

Germany
Italy
France
Netherlands
Spain
Portugal
Belgium
Ireland
UK
Iceland
Switzerland
Poland
Rest of Western Europe

Eastern Europe

Austria
Russia & Belarus
Türkiye
Albania
Rest of Eastern Europe

Asia Pacific:

China
Taiwan
India
Japan
Australia and New Zealand,
ASEAN Countries (Singapore, Malaysia)
South Korea
Rest of APAC

MEA:

GCC Countries
Saudi Arabia
United Arab Emirates (UAE)
Qatar
Kuwait
Oman
Bahrain
South Africa
Egypt
Rest of MEA

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About Us

Towards Packaging is a global consulting and market intelligence firm specializing in strategic research across key packaging segments including sustainable, flexible, smart, biodegradable, and recycled packaging. We empower businesses with actionable insights, trend analysis, and data-driven strategies. Our experienced consultants use advanced research methodologies to help companies of all sizes navigate market shifts, identify growth opportunities, and stay competitive in the global packaging industry.

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